Nothing in investing hits as hard as the economic cycle. Recessions and recoveries can make or break an investing career. While avoiding a recessionary draw-down can make you a hero to your clients, conversely, losing money fighting an economic expansion can just as quickly tarnish your investing reputation. The cycle is undefeated, and investing against…
Author: Martin Kollmorgen
Rock n Roll and the Retail Apocalypse: April 2021 Newsletter
The stock market has a long memory. Investors make mistakes, and the collective market intelligence is replete with investment theories that quickly or slowly turned sour, damaging investor bottom lines and inflicting emotional scars. Fool me once, shame on me, fool me twice, I won’t get fooled again. The widely discussed “retail apocalypse” of 2016-2020…
Bikes, Physics, Taxes: March 2021 Newsletter
For better or worse the capital markets never stop moving. They are constantly evolving, assimilating data, adjusting their prices, speeding up, and then slowing down. To navigate them successfully requires balance, and the ability to continually change your views as the data changes. If your portfolio stays static for too long, chances are it will…
The Dark Knight and Rising Rates: February 2021 Newsletter
There is something endlessly enthralling about Batman and his place in the realm of superheroes. Batman has no super-powers. No super-strength, no X-ray vision, no magical abilities. He had to work to build himself into a crime-fighting powerhouse, something relatively unique within a universe of super-powered beings. And despite its elements of fantasy, the story…
Gamestop, Coronavirus, And A REIT Turnaround: January 2021 Newsletter
Has the market gone mad? Last week a mob of faceless internet warriors pushed an obscure video game retailer into the living room of mainstream America. Along the way they took down a variety of multi-billion-dollar hedge funds and seemed to turn the edifice of Wall Street firmly on its head. Trading was frenzied, emotions…